2015 Bilbao Masters

The tournament is a double round robin; the top seed is Anand. The forecast:

Methodology

2015 Poikovsky Karpov Tournament

Korobov and Bologan tied for first place. Meanwhile, Morozevich and Shirov finished near the bottom and both of them dropped below 2700. They used to be in the world's top 10.

In the World Cup, Karjakin overcame a 0-2 start against Svidler and won the match in the tiebreak games. Most likely, the model would not have predicted that.