Danzhou 2018

It looks like the tournament will be an 8-player round robin. I think Shankland is the player to watch. He won the US Championship ahead of Caruana, So, and Nakamura; then he continued to gain points. Can he keep it up? If so, American players will start talking about "The Big Four" instead of  "The Big Three." Our forecast:

Biel 2018

The Biel tournament starts soon. The World Champion is the top seed in this 6-player double round robin.

Usually I conclude with a link to the methodology paper, but instead I have pinned that link to the "About Me" section of the blog.