Dortmund Chess Tournament

For some reason, I can't upload the picture with the forecast. We'll have to use a different format.

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Wins or ties for first

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Caruana: 44%

Kramnik: 33%

So: 30%

Naiditsch: 13%

Nepomniachtchi: 10%

Yifan: 6%

Nisipeanu: 3%

Meier: 3%

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Wins first place

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Caruana: 25%

Kramnik: 18%

So: 15%

Naiditsch: 5%

Nepomniachtchi: 2%

Yifan: 2%

Nisipeanu: 1%

Meier: 1%

There was some rounding in the above figures, which are based on 20000 simulations.