2016 US Chess Championship - Round 10

A few games are still in progress, but the leaders have finished their battles. Nakamura won and now trails Caruana by half a point. Caruana is the huge favorite since he is playing the bottom seed in the last round. Robson has some very remote chances: Caruana would have to lose to Chandra, while neither Nakamura nor So would win.

Caruana: 7.5
So: 7
Nakamura: 7
Robson: 6.5

Methodology