The 2020 Candidates Tournament was postponed; the second half begins this month. Nepo and MVL were leading with 4.5/7, but in the forecast, Nepo is the favorite. That is because MVL shed 26 rating points in the 2021 Tata Steel Masters. Caruana trails at 3.5/7, but the model still thinks he has a chance due to his high rating.
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