Carlsen - Nepo Game 10

 Carlsen kept his 3-game lead

Carlsen - Nepo Game 9

 Carlsen wins again and now leads by 6-3.

Carlsen - Nepo Game 8

 Carlsen won again and took a 5-3 lead. Nepo needs a miracle.

Carlsen - Nepo Game 7

 Nepo failed to strike back with the white pieces, so his chances continue to fall.

Carlsen - Nepo Game 6

Carlsen won Game 6 and leads 3.5-2.5. Since he is ahead and has the higher rating, the model says he is heavily favored to win. 

Carlsen - Nepo Game 5

 Another draw. Not much changes in the forecast.