There is a roughly 51% chance that Caruana wins the 2 game match, 15% that Nakamura wins, and a 34% chance of a draw.
In the other match, MVL is the slight favorite. 32% chance of MVL winning, 26% of Aronian winning, and 42% chance of a tie.
Sunday, December 9, 2018
London Chess Classic
The first round matches are Caruana-Nakamura and Aronian-MVL. They will play 2 classical games, 2 rapids, and 2 blitz. The forecasts below are for the classical portion of the match. Caruana has had a string a strong results, while Nakamura has struggled with poor form. The rating gap between them is nearly 100 points.
There is a roughly 51% chance that Caruana wins the 2 game match, 15% that Nakamura wins, and a 34% chance of a draw.
In the other match, MVL is the slight favorite. 32% chance of MVL winning, 26% of Aronian winning, and 42% chance of a tie.
There is a roughly 51% chance that Caruana wins the 2 game match, 15% that Nakamura wins, and a 34% chance of a draw.
In the other match, MVL is the slight favorite. 32% chance of MVL winning, 26% of Aronian winning, and 42% chance of a tie.
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