Tuesday, January 26, 2016
Monday, January 25, 2016
Friday, January 22, 2016
Tuesday, January 19, 2016
2016 Tata Steel - Round 4
It looks like Caruana was close to extending his lead to 3.5/4, but he only got a draw today.
Monday, January 18, 2016
2016 Tata Steel - Round 3
Caruana is in clear first place with an impressive 2.5/3. Meanwhile, unless there is an error in the broadcast, it looks like Mamedyarov - Eljanov ended after White blundered a full rook.
Thursday, January 14, 2016
2016 Tata Steel
The 2016 Tata Steel tournament begins in a few days. It is a 14-player round robin with many of the top players in the world. Magnus Carlsen is the top seed; we will have to see if his rating will continue to recover.
I have been trying to improve the model so that it would take into account whether a player has White or Black. Unfortunately, the computer has been choking on the large amount of data...
I have been trying to improve the model so that it would take into account whether a player has White or Black. Unfortunately, the computer has been choking on the large amount of data...
Saturday, December 12, 2015
2015 London Chess Classic - Round 8
Today we returned to the usual pattern of 1 decisive game and 4 draws. This time, Giri won against Nakamura and is now tied for first with MVL.
As for winning the Grand Chess Tour, Giri is the favorite. The standings for the relevant players:
Giri - 13 Grand Chess Tour Points
MVL - 12 Grand Chess Tour Points
Aronian - 15 Grand Chess Tour Points
Carlsen - 14 Grand Chess Tour Points
Grischuk - 8 Grand Chess Tour Points
The winner of the London Classic gets 12 points if 1st place is shared and 13 points if it is not shared. Then 2nd place is 10 points, and 3rd place is 8. There is tiebreak procedure, but the website says that it can't be calculated until the end of the tournament.
Grischuk doesn't seem to have any chance, but Carlsen or Aronian could still win the Tour if they win their last games while Giri and MVL draw. As the forecast below indicates, there is a substantial probability of this happening.
But perhaps the biggest winner of the London Chess Classic is...Vladimir Kramnik. He's not even playing, but he has benefited from the tournament. Both Anand and Topalov have dropped enough points that now the Russian is in 2nd place in the live ratings. I don't recall Kramnik playing in many top tournaments this year, but when he has played, he has done well. His rating has climbed to 2796.
As for winning the Grand Chess Tour, Giri is the favorite. The standings for the relevant players:
Giri - 13 Grand Chess Tour Points
MVL - 12 Grand Chess Tour Points
Aronian - 15 Grand Chess Tour Points
Carlsen - 14 Grand Chess Tour Points
Grischuk - 8 Grand Chess Tour Points
The winner of the London Classic gets 12 points if 1st place is shared and 13 points if it is not shared. Then 2nd place is 10 points, and 3rd place is 8. There is tiebreak procedure, but the website says that it can't be calculated until the end of the tournament.
Grischuk doesn't seem to have any chance, but Carlsen or Aronian could still win the Tour if they win their last games while Giri and MVL draw. As the forecast below indicates, there is a substantial probability of this happening.
But perhaps the biggest winner of the London Chess Classic is...Vladimir Kramnik. He's not even playing, but he has benefited from the tournament. Both Anand and Topalov have dropped enough points that now the Russian is in 2nd place in the live ratings. I don't recall Kramnik playing in many top tournaments this year, but when he has played, he has done well. His rating has climbed to 2796.
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