Wednesday, January 27, 2016

2016 Tata Steel - Round 10

Caruana defeated Yi and now trails by just half a point.







I have been working on a chess project off and on for the last several months (or maybe it has been a year by now). The goal was to find if the draw rate after 1.d4 is higher than after 1.e4. Just looking at the average draw rate can be misleading; in this article, I found that White tends to play 1.e4 when he is the underdog and 1.d4 when he is the favorite.

Unfortunately, the computer I'm using can't handle the massive dataset. They won't upgrade my work computer for at least a few months, so the project will be delayed. The results might help me improve the forecasts a bit.

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