2015 Tata Steel Chess Tournament - Round 9

Carlsen won again. He leads by a full point with just 4 games left to go.

Even though Vachier-Lagrave and So have the same score and very similar ratings, the model thinks that So has much better chances. The reason is that Vachier-Lagrave has a much tougher schedule ahead of him; he will have to play Carlsen, Aronian, and Caruana. Meanwhile, So will be playing bottom seeds Van Wely and Saric.