Saturday, November 29, 2014

2014 Russian Chess Championship Superfinal - Round 2

Top seed Sergey Karjakin stumbled in Round 2, losing to Nepomniactchi. Morozevich and Zvjaginsev also won in Round 2, joining Lysyj in first place.




Friday, November 28, 2014

2014 Russian Chess Championship Superfinal

The 10-player round robin stars Sergey Karjakin as top seed. Even though the tournament is missing Grischuk and Kramnik, there are so many elite Russian players that it is still very competitive.


Friday, November 21, 2014

2014 World Chess Championship: Carlsen - Anand Game 10

Game 10 was a hard fought draw. The latest forecast:

Carlsen wins: 83.4725%
Anand wins: 2.13%
Match drawn: 14.3975%

With rapid tiebreaks,

Carlsen wins: 90.83%
Anand wins: 5.39%
Match drawn: 3.78%

Thursday, November 20, 2014

2014 World Chess Championship: Carlsen - Anand Game 9

The game quickly ended in a draw. If the score was even, then draws would assist Anand's chances, especially draws with Black. In shorter matches, there are more chances for an upset. However, in this case Carlsen is a point up, so each draw brings him closer to victory.

Carlsen wins: 81.165%
Anand wins: 3.3%
Match drawn: 15.535%

With rapid tiebreaks included:

Carlsen wins: 89.1%
Anand wins: 6.81%
Match drawn: 4.09%


Tuesday, November 18, 2014

2014 World Chess Championship: Carlsen - Anand Game 8

Carlsen was well prepared and held a draw without much difficulty. He certainly remains the favorite in the forecast.

Carlsen wins: 83.6575%
Anand wins: 4.505%
Match drawn: 11.8375%

With rapid tiebreaks included,

Carlsen wins: 89.71%
Anand wins: 7.18%
Match drawn: 3.11%

Monday, November 17, 2014

2014 World Chess Championship: Carlsen - Anand Game 7

Fortunately for chess fans on the west coast, the game was very long today, allowing us to see the last part. Eventually Anand held a draw with Black, so his odds improved slightly.

Carlsen wins: 82.675%
Anand wins: 5.2175%
Match drawn: 12.1075%

With rapid tiebreaks included,

Carlsen wins: 88.86%
Anand wins: 7.96%
Match drawn: 3.18%

Saturday, November 15, 2014

Carlsen - Anand 2014: Game 6

Carlsen prevailed today, though he committed a blunder that Anand failed to exploit. This oversight dominated the press conference. Now that he leads 3.5 - 2.5, Carlsen's chances climbed considerably in the forecast.

Carlsen wins: 84.9675%
Anand wins: 5.0675%
Match drawn: 9.965%

With rapid tiebreaks accounted for,

Carlsen wins: 90.06%
Anand wins: 7.32%
Match drawn: 2.62%